A Sensible Analysis of Why Dems Are Happy after The Senate Vote

From Eric Alterman here. Read the whole thing to get the whole argument.

But why then, are (most) Democrats so happy and (all) Republicans so glum this Christmas? My guess is that Democrats are gambling on exactly the same ground that so worried William Kristol 16 years ago. They’ve redefined the playing field of American politics to ground that is inherently favorable to their team. When Americans complain about their health care in the future, are they going to look to the party that wants to do nothing to fix it? No, they’re going to go with the side of political activism and government involvement. The other side, after all, isn’t even in the game. Republicans had their chance and all they could say was “Bah Humbug.”

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Of course this is not over yet, though the Alterman piece argues for a Pelosi effort to let the Senate bill get through the House unscathed.

I would continue to maintain that if the House situation dissolves over Stupak issues, a more liberal compromise might be reached and the Senate would either pass it with 60 votes, of as likely, things would move to reconciliation as I have assumed from the start.

Either way things look OK for the Dems and even better for those who can be identified as enthusiastic for health care reform. I think even the ladies from Maine will be vulnerable to Democrats.

Reinstall Plouffe either at DNC or in the White House Rahm position and I will have a completely happy new year.

COMMENT ON: The Senate Health Care Bill: Leave No Special Interest Behind

Neither this approach nor the celebration-approach it criticizes is on the mark.

1. Summary judgments before the process is complete.

2. Health care reform IS a continuing legislative process.

3. Instant historical judgments do not stand the test of time. No one knows whether history will judge this process as a victory for the people or for the special interests. Likely both. Likely historians will disagree.

A better approach is — What can those who would like an improved bill do now? I take it this is why the White House is encouraging some additions as the final version gets hammered out.

Who knows what the coming days will bring?

Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

Affordable Health Care for America Act Summary with Links to More Details

The key components of the Affordable Health Care for America Act include:

Increasing choice and competition. The bill will protect and improve consumers’ choices.

  • If people like their current plans, they will be able to keep them.
  • For individuals who aren’t currently covered by their employer, and some small businesses, the proposal will establish a new Health Insurance Exchange where consumers can comparison shop from a menu of affordable, quality health care options that will include private plans, health co-ops, and a new public health insurance option. The public health insurance option will play on a level playing field with private insurers, spurring additional competition.
  • This Exchange will create competition based on quality and price that leads to better coverage and care. Patients and doctors will have control over decisions about their health care, instead of insurance companies.

Giving Americans peace of mind. The legislation will ensure that Americans have portable, secure health care coverage – so that they won’t lose care if their employer drops their plan or they lose their job.

  • Every American who receives coverage through the Exchange will have a plan that includes standardized, comprehensive and quality health care benefits.
  • It will end increases in premiums or denials of care based on pre-existing conditions, race, or gender, and strictly limit age rating.
  • The proposal will also eliminate co-pays for preventive care, and cap out-of-pocket expensesto protects every American from bankruptcy.

Improving quality of care for every American. The legislation will ensure that Americans of all ages, from young children to retirees have access to greater quality of care by focusing on prevention, wellness, and strengthening programs that work.

  • Guarantees that every child in America will have health care coverage that includes dental, hearing and vision benefits.
  • Provides better preventive and wellness care. Every health care plan offered through the exchange and by employers after a grace period will cover preventive care at no cost to the patient.
  • Increases the health care workforce to ensure that more doctors and nurses are available to provide quality care as more Americans get coverage.
  • Strengthens Medicare and Medicaid and closes the Medicare Part D ‘donut hole’ so that seniors and low-income Americans receive better quality of care and see lower prescription drug costs and out-of-pocket expenses.

Ensuring shared responsibility. The bill will ensure that individuals, employers, and the federal government share responsibility for a quality and affordable health care system.

  • Employers can continue offering coverage to workers, and those who choose not offer coverage contribute a fee of eight percent of payroll.
  • All individuals will generally be required to get coverage, either through their employer or the exchange, or pay a penalty of 2.5 percent of income, subject to a hardship exemption.
  • The federal government will provide affordability credits, available on a sliding scale for low- and middle-income individuals and families to make premiums affordable and reduce cost-sharing.

Protecting consumers and reducing waste, fraud, and abuse. The legislation will put the interests of consumers first, protect them from problems in getting and keeping health care coverage, and reduce waste, fraud, and abuse.

  • Provides transparency in plans in the Health Exchange so that consumers have the clear, complete information, in plain English, needed to select the plan that best meets their needs.
  • Establishes consumer advocacy offices as part of the Exchange in order to protect consumers, answer questions, and assist with any problems related to their plans.
  • Simplifies paperwork and other administrative burdens. Patients, doctors, nurses, insurance companies, providers, and employers will all encounter a streamlined, less confusing, more consumer friendly system.
  • Increases funding of efforts to reduce waste, fraud and abuse; creates enhanced oversight of Medicare and Medicaid programs.

Reducing the deficit and ensuring the solvency of Medicare and Medicaid. The legislation will be entirely paid for – it will not add a dime to the deficit. It will also put Medicare and Medicaid on the path to a more fiscally sound future, so seniors and low-income Americans can continue to receive the quality health care benefits for years to come.

  • Pays for the entire cost of the legislation though a combination of savings achieved by making Medicare and Medicaid more efficient – without cutting seniors’ benefits in any way – and  revenue generated from placing a surcharge the top 0.3 percent of all households in the U.S.(married couples with adjusted gross income of over $1,000,000) and other tax measures.
  • The Congressional Budget estimates the bill will reduce the deficit by at least $100 billion over ten years.
  • Estimates also show the bill will slow the rate of growth of the Medicare program from 6.6 percent annually to 5.3 percent annually.

Comment On: How Reid Found His Silver Bullet: Opt-Out Pitched Just Three Weeks Ago

The Public Option of Harry Reid Is Highly Suspect. I watched the celebration yesterday and it looked pretty triumphant. But now I am seeing the narrative here and elsewhere and my suspicion alerts are off the board.

Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

The problem is that the nice little trick that folk like Ed and others perceive as a way to euchre the Republicans opens the door to chicanery, resentment, gaming, confusion and demagoguery, not to mention cries of betrayal from voters who believe that a federal plan should be, er, federal. A risky gamble, eh?

Maybe this is a nice ploy to move to the robust option. If it isn’t, I think all the celebrating is either premature or the sort of charade one enters when trying to make the best of a very shaky bargain.

Yawn

Written here ten days ago.

“At the end it will be he and not them who ascends the rostrum in the great hall where State of the Union messages are delivered. He will lay down the irreducible elements of what he wants.”

Ted Kennedy Dies — Health Care Reform Was His Great Cause

TED KENNEDY DEAD: Legendary Senator Passes Away From Brain Cancer (VIDEO) http://ow.ly/lnYS

HE WROTE

Health care isn’t a frill or a luxury. It’s a basic necessity that should be available to all Americans, not just those who have the best jobs and the highest incomes. That’s why I’m working with President Obama and my colleagues in Congress to make good health care a reality for all Americans.

Health reform is not just about expanding access to coverage, although doing so is clearly fundamental. It’s not just about reducing costs, although doing so is essential to reduce the burden on working families of the soaring cost of health care. True reform will include other key priorities, as well.

SOURCE

Health Care: A Parliamentary Dance Is Underway

GANG OF SIX: Bingaman says he could support passing reform via budget reconciliation http://ow.ly/lnlf

FROM THE STORY:

Reconciliation is a special process through which the Senate deals with budget issues. Only 51 votes are needed to pass a budget reconciliation bill on the floor of the Senate, whereas all other bills are susceptible to a filibuster which requires 60 votes to overcome.

“We made a provision in the budget resolution [earlier this year] that it [the reconciliation bill] could be used to try to enact health care provisions related to health care reform,” Bingaman said. “There are restrictions to what you can include in that… but I would support it if that’s the only way.”

COMMENT

It is looking more and more that a parliamentary dance is underway. Best case might be a 60 vote agreement to suspend rules that would prevent a final resolution. Then there would be a 51 vote passage of elements that opponents do not want and a 60 vote approval of the popular reforms that do have bipartisan support.

Important: How Reconciliation Might Work to Pass Health Care Reform

Democrats Ponder One-Bill Reconciliation Strategy For Health Care http://ow.ly/llmZ

NUB OF THE POST ABOVE

The answer can be found in the specific proposals that would be in violation of the Byrd Rule. Mostly, those would include reforms to the way the insurance industry operates — for example, a ban on using preexisting conditions to deny coverage, or a law that insurance companies can’t drop a client just because they get sick.

Those are wildly popular reforms. Getting 60 votes to support those policies is much easier than getting 60 for a public health insurance option, which Republicans and some conservative Democrats oppose.

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