All current Democratic presidential primary polls show Barack Obama leading by good margins.
RCP Average 01/04 – 01/09 – 44.0 31.0 15.3 Obama +13.0
Given the New Hampshire results, I would subtract 10 points from Obama’s totals which would have him winnning by a narrower margin in two out of three.
Interesting side issue: Obama and Hillary were TIED in New Hampshire in the most important respect. Each won 9 delegates. A draw.
I am honestly stumped by the twin prospects of tampering that may or may not skew results and by the enduring threat of a Bradley tilt between polls and results.
To me the best idea is to create a bullet point platform now around points I made in an earlier post today.