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New Poll Anticipates Barak Obama Surge Will Win Ohio


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Public Policy Polling (PPP), the only accurate poll for South Carolina and Wisconson, has released a poll for Ohio that that predicts an Obama victory as he closes a four point gap between now and next Tuesday. It is now possible to predict a four state sweep for Obama next Tuesday.

The PPP release quoted in full below:

Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama has pulled within 4 points of Hillary Clinton in Ohio,
according to the newest survey by Public Policy Polling.

Clinton leads Obama 50-46. Obama’s surge appears to be at least partially attributable tothe virtual certainly that John McCain will be nominated on the Republican side. That means more independents and Republicans in the state are planning to vote in the Democratic primary. While Obama trails Clinton 56-40 among self identified Democrats, he leads 80-13 with Republicans and 64-33 with independents.

“Hillary Clinton is in big trouble,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.

“As recently as a week ago many polls in the state were showing her with around a 20
point lead. The race is trending heavily toward Obama and time is on his side with
another eight day before the voting.”

The standard racial and gender disparities in support between Clinton and Obama apply
in Ohio. She leads 55-42 with women, while he leads 51-45 with men. She has a 56-38
advantage with white voters, while he leads 76-24 with African American voters.

On the Republican side, John McCain leads Mike Huckabee 55-30. The biggest issues for
Republicans in the state are the economy and the war, and McCain dominates, leading
61-27 with voters most concerned about the economy and 76-17 with voters whose top
issue is the war.

“If Mike Huckabee was looking for a miracle in Ohio, he’s not likely to find it,” said

Debnam. “This race is pretty much over.”

PPP surveyed 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 430 likely Republican primary
voters on February 23rd and 24th. The survey’s margins of errors are +/- 4.0% and +/-
4.7% respectively. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

PPP will have new numbers for the primaries in Texas tomorrow.

Complete results are attached and can be found at http://www.publicpolicypolling.com.
If you have questions about this release or would like an interview regarding this release,

please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888.

Ohio Democratic Primary Survey Results

Q1 The Democratic candidates still running for
President are Hillary Clinton and Barack
Obama. If the primary was today, who would
you vote for?
If you would vote for Hillary
Clinton, press 1.

If for Barack Obama, press 2.

If you’re undecided press 3.

Clinton……………….. .50%

Obama………………. .46%

Undecided………….. . 4%

Q2 I am going to name 7 issues. Which of these is
most important to you? The War in Iraq,
education, the economy and jobs, taxes, moral
or family values, health care, or immigration. If
the War in Iraq is most important, press 1. If
education, press 2. If the economy and jobs,
press 3. If taxes, press 4. If moral and family
values, press 5. If health care, press 6. If
immigration, press 7. If some other issue is
most important, press 8.

War in Iraq ………… 25%

Education ………….. 7%

Economy and jobs. 46%

Taxes ……………….. 3%

Moral and family values……………….. 4%

Health care………… 12%

Immigration ……….. 2%

Other ………………… 1%

Q3 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2.

Women ……………… .54%

Men…………………… .46%

Q4 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a
Republican, press 2. If other, press 3.

Democrat ……………………………………………….. 82%

Republican……………………………………………… 8%
Other……………………………………………………… 10%

Q5 If you are white, press 1, if African-American,
press 2. If other, press 3.

White ………………… .78%

African American … .17%

Other…………………. . 5%

Q6 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If
you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65,
press 3. If older than 65, press 4.

18-29…………………. .15%

30-45…………………. .23%

46-65…………………. .44%

Older than 65 ……… .18

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